Tuesday, January 23, 2007

Uh, goodbye Europe...

Uh, goodbye Europe... you had a pretty good and pretty productive run.

Rest of world: Careful, you are not far behind.

The USA: If you think you are the super-power, multi-power, maxi-power, omni-power now --- you ain't seen nothing yet.

Pic Globe showing USA disproportionately large:

+++

See Below:

The developed world experienced a very visible decline in fertility rates in the post World War II period because of changes in the economics of parenthood, medical advances and various institutional factors.

  • In the early 1970s according to the UN, only six of Europe’s 22 countries, specifically Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland, had fertility rates below the population maintenance rate of 2.1 children per women. Today only Albania is at or above the population maintenance rate.
  • According to Jean-Claude Chesnais, a French demographer, Italy and Spain have experienced the lowest fertility ever seen in the history of mankind.
  • Today the population of Europe is declining in absolute terms. For instance, the Russian population is losing 800,000 people per year.

March 2002 is significant because that was the date that the UN Population Division recognized that –

  1. The Total Fertility Rate (“TFR”) of the Less Developed Countries would emulate the more developed nations and fall below the 2.1 TFR replacement level.
  2. The world population would decline in the latter part of the twenty-first century.

Ben Wattenberg, the moderator for the PBS program “Think Tank”, states “Never have birth and fertility rates fallen so far, so fast, so low, for so long, in so many places, so surprisingly.”

The developed world experienced a very visible decline in fertility rates in the post World War II period because of changes in the economics of parenthood, medical advances and various institutional factors.

  • In the early 1970s according to the UN, only six of Europe’s 22 countries, specifically Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland, had fertility rates below the population maintenance rate of 2.1 children per women. Today only Albania is at or above the population maintenance rate.
  • According to Jean-Claude Chesnais, a French demographer, Italy and Spain have experienced the lowest fertility ever seen in the history of mankind.
  • Today the population of Europe is declining in absolute terms. For instance, the Russian population is losing 800,000 people per year.

March 2002 is significant because that was the date that the UN Population Division recognized that –

  1. The Total Fertility Rate (“TFR”) of the Less Developed Countries would emulate the more developed nations and fall below the 2.1 TFR replacement level.
  2. The world population would decline in the latter part of the twenty-first century.

Ben Wattenberg, the moderator for the PBS program “Think Tank”, states “Never have birth and fertility rates fallen so far, so fast, so low, for so long, in so many places, so surprisingly.”

(>ahem...<)

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home