Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Schram --- probably over-stated

Marty Schram is a real pro, and a fine writer.

His analysis below is probably largely correct, but likely exaggerated.

I am a hawk on Iraq. But I don't buy The President's view that defeat there would be "a disaster."

America would remain the "omni-power" the only major nation with a growing population while others are shrinking, keeping markets humming and an economy of scale operative. It would retain the "reserve currency" allowing our scrip to buy goods and services, while it is hoarded in foreign nations. We would continue to get the lion's share of the world's investments. Where would would you put pension fund monies, if you wanted it a stable nation, with transparent exchanges?

America is, and for the forseeable future, will be Number One. Let us pray that we use such power wisely.

Ben

###

Scripps Howard News Service for August 22, 2006
By Martin Schram

President Bush is standing at the podium, taking questions from the press, and time and again, as you look at his glazed gaze, you think you are watching a tragic twist on the old deer-in-the-headlights refrain.

The president looks frozen in place and time, like he has been trapped in the glare of his own headlights.

These moments happen in between the flashes of determination and even defiance as he keeps insisting it would be “a disaster” and a “huge mistake” to pull America’s troops out of Iraq because it will embolden terrorists to strike us again and endanger our homeland. (What the leader-lite Democrats don’t understand is that, he is probably right.)

But between those moments it is clear that he has idea of what to say or do to make victory happen, or at least to assure non-defeat. It is then that a freeze-frame panic in his eyes makes you think that perhaps he has finally gotten a clue, deep inside, of the once-unspeakable, horrible outcome that awaits the troops he commands:

That -- due to the exponentially mounting failures of his Iraq war decisions -- the more than 2,600 of the bravest American men and women who volunteered to serve their country and died on the battlefields, streets and sands of Iraq, may prove to have died in vain.

It is the tragic truth from which the president’s legs, heart and mind cannot run. A bloody civil war has set in, even as he is still denying it to the cameras. Iraq has been allowed to spin so far out of control that there may be nothing that the mightiest military on earth can now do to save its own mission in Iraq.

So we grieve for all the Americans who will have given their lives for a worthy cause that has been lost due to the massive misjudgments and arrogant tunnel-vision of the president and the inner circle of few who steered him wrong -- Vice President Cheney, Defense Secretary Don Rumsfeld.

For as the president flailed and filibustered Monday, the real truth was being told in the latest dispatches from Iraq. Sunni Arab insurgents attacked thousands of Shiite worshippers who flocked to Baghdad to pray on a Shiite Islamic holy day -- killing 20, wounding more than 300. The daily U.S. military report called it a day of “relatively little violence.” The math says the military is right. After all, more 3,400 Iraqi civilians killed in Iraq in July -- a record high that means more that 100 civilians are killed each day.

Thousands of U.S. troops were shifted from Mosul to Baghdad to try to halt events in a capital that was thought secured long ago. What does the commander-in-chief expect his troops to be doing each day if the Sunni vs. Shiite battling escalates? Patrol? Get caught in the middle? Hunker down? (As President Reagan had the marines do in Lebanon, with a tragic outcome.) Does President Bush expect his troops can stop a civil war that is religious, ethnic, factional, historical -- the civil war he was warned about by elders who served his father, whose wisdom he ignored?

We don’t know because he wasn’t asked. ABC’s Martha Raddatz tried to try to get there, noting the civilian deaths and asking if it was time for a new strategy. The commander-in-chief confused strategy and tactics: “You know that the Pentagon is constantly adjusting tactics because they have the flexibility from the White House to do so.” Raddatz interjected: “I'm talking about strategy.” Bush never blinked: “The strategy is to help the Iraqi people achieve their objectives and their dreams, which is a democratic society. That's the strategy. The tactics -- now, either you say, yes, it's important that we stay there and get it done; or we leave. We're not leaving so long as I'm the president. That would be a huge mistake.”

Strategy has seemed to be MIA ever since Saddam Hussein was toppled. Strategy for securing Iraq either never existed or failed. Bush brushed aside recommendations for twice as many troops. Rummy disbanded Iraq’s army. Arsenal looters armed evil-doers. Foreign terrorists infiltrated. All as the president peacocked on an aircraft carrier festooned with “Mission Accomplished.”
Today President Bush rightly says we must not pullout and allow the Afghanistanization of Iraq, a collapse into dysfunction, a haven for terrorists to mobilize and plot new attacks against us.
But Americans must brace for this unspoken truth: We may no longer be able to prevent that painful outcome even if we stay -- as civil war expands all around our troops, giving catastrophic new meaning to harm’s way.
###
Scripps Howard News Service for August 22, 2006
By Martin Schram

President Bush is standing at the podium, taking questions from the press, and time and again, as you look at his glazed gaze, you think you are watching a tragic twist on the old deer-in-the-headlights refrain.

The president looks frozen in place and time, like he has been trapped in the glare of his own headlights.

These moments happen in between the flashes of determination and even defiance as he keeps insisting it would be “a disaster” and a “huge mistake” to pull America’s troops out of Iraq because it will embolden terrorists to strike us again and endanger our homeland. (What the leader-lite Democrats don’t understand is that, he is probably right.)

But between those moments it is clear that he has idea of what to say or do to make victory happen, or at least to assure non-defeat. It is then that a freeze-frame panic in his eyes makes you think that perhaps he has finally gotten a clue, deep inside, of the once-unspeakable, horrible outcome that awaits the troops he commands:

That -- due to the exponentially mounting failures of his Iraq war decisions -- the more than 2,600 of the bravest American men and women who volunteered to serve their country and died on the battlefields, streets and sands of Iraq, may prove to have died in vain.

It is the tragic truth from which the president’s legs, heart and mind cannot run. A bloody civil war has set in, even as he is still denying it to the cameras. Iraq has been allowed to spin so far out of control that there may be nothing that the mightiest military on earth can now do to save its own mission in Iraq.

So we grieve for all the Americans who will have given their lives for a worthy cause that has been lost due to the massive misjudgments and arrogant tunnel-vision of the president and the inner circle of few who steered him wrong -- Vice President Cheney, Defense Secretary Don Rumsfeld.

For as the president flailed and filibustered Monday, the real truth was being told in the latest dispatches from Iraq. Sunni Arab insurgents attacked thousands of Shiite worshippers who flocked to Baghdad to pray on a Shiite Islamic holy day -- killing 20, wounding more than 300. The daily U.S. military report called it a day of “relatively little violence.” The math says the military is right. After all, more 3,400 Iraqi civilians killed in Iraq in July -- a record high that means more that 100 civilians are killed each day.

Thousands of U.S. troops were shifted from Mosul to Baghdad to try to halt events in a capital that was thought secured long ago. What does the commander-in-chief expect his troops to be doing each day if the Sunni vs. Shiite battling escalates? Patrol? Get caught in the middle? Hunker down? (As President Reagan had the marines do in Lebanon, with a tragic outcome.) Does President Bush expect his troops can stop a civil war that is religious, ethnic, factional, historical -- the civil war he was warned about by elders who served his father, whose wisdom he ignored?

We don’t know because he wasn’t asked. ABC’s Martha Raddatz tried to try to get there, noting the civilian deaths and asking if it was time for a new strategy. The commander-in-chief confused strategy and tactics: “You know that the Pentagon is constantly adjusting tactics because they have the flexibility from the White House to do so.” Raddatz interjected: “I'm talking about strategy.” Bush never blinked: “The strategy is to help the Iraqi people achieve their objectives and their dreams, which is a democratic society. That's the strategy. The tactics -- now, either you say, yes, it's important that we stay there and get it done; or we leave. We're not leaving so long as I'm the president. That would be a huge mistake.”

Strategy has seemed to be MIA ever since Saddam Hussein was toppled. Strategy for securing Iraq either never existed or failed. Bush brushed aside recommendations for twice as many troops. Rummy disbanded Iraq’s army. Arsenal looters armed evil-doers. Foreign terrorists infiltrated. All as the president peacocked on an aircraft carrier festooned with “Mission Accomplished.”
Today President Bush rightly says we must not pullout and allow the Afghanistanization of Iraq, a collapse into dysfunction, a haven for terrorists to mobilize and plot new attacks against us.
But Americans must brace for this unspoken truth: We may no longer be able to prevent that painful outcome even if we stay -- as civil war expands all around our troops, giving catastrophic new meaning to harm’s way.
###

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